Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum and Foreign Minister. For the particular modifications in the Constitution, the Chamber of Deputies voted 356 in favor and 84 against. . Originally from Tabasco, AMLOs home state, the relationship between the two goes beyond politics. It was proposed by Lpez Obrador himself during his candidacy in the 2018 election and requested by opponents and supporters of his government. The 2022 Mexican presidential recall election, officially called the Recall Process of the President of the Republic elected for the constitutional period 20182024 (Spanish: Proceso de Revocacin de Mandato del Presidente de la Repblica electo para el periodo constitucional 20182024) by the electoral organization Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE), was held in Mexico on 10 April 2022 to decide if the incumbent President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador should stay in office and serve his full six-year term.[1][2]. The presidential electoral cycle for 2024 hasnt officially begun, per rules set by the electoral commission, but all three main contenders for the next presidential nomination were there. For Rudman, the parallels between Mexicos current institutional reforms and the early days of some of the established authoritarian regimes in Latin America today, including Venezuela and Nicaragua, are too glaring to ignore. This is a list of presidents of the United States by time in office.The listed number of days is calculated as the difference between dates, which counts the number of calendar days except the last day. Here's a glance at the hopefuls: Presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, of the MORENA party, gives a thumbs up to supporters at the end of his closing campaign rally at Azteca stadium in Mexico City, Wednesday, June 27 . Weekly update on whats driving U.S. national security policy. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. The summit will convene prominent leaders from the climate arena, including Gillian Caldwell, chief climate officer and deputy assistant at USAID, Dr. Hoesung Lee the chair of the IPCC, Selwin Hart, special advisor to UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres on Climate action, and many others. Delivered Friday. Coming out of the referendum, the president and his backers will be able to point to the overwhelming support for Mr. Lpez Obrador and his political project among his base, even at a moment of weakness. Although Mr. Lpez Obrador fell far short of the 40 percent participation required to make the results count, marshaling more than 15 million people across the country to vote in his favor underscores his ability to mobilize his base at a time when his governments achievements are under scrutiny. The waves of massive protests in several Mexican cities, including a crowd of more than 500,000 people in Mexico City, in defense of INE have demonstrated Mexicans desire to uphold the two-party system. The undisputed winner, beyond the war of figures and narratives, is the I.N.E., said Carlos Bravo Regidor, a political analyst. Its also concerning to note that major opposition figures who have stated an interest in competing in 2024 are facing investigations and criticism from government figures and entities controlled by AMLO or his allies. She was elected mayor as a feminist with a progressive agenda, but in trying to please AMLO, Sheinbaum has changed her tune, initially dismissing feminist street protests (an attitude in line with the presidents approach to discontent with his government). Enter your email address to follow Pulse News Mexico and receive notifications of new posts by email. What are the driving issues in this election? Although Ebrard has been a loyal Lpez Obrador follower since the early days of his presidency, interestingly he is not registered officially within the Morena party. AMERICAS SOCIETY/COUNCIL OF THE AMERICAS. From his presidential campaign, Lpez Obrador promised to hold a recall election two years into his eventual government. Amid the uncertainty surroundingthe next presidential election, one thing is for sure on the firstTuesday ofNovember 2024 the public will once again face a choice: who best represents the country? With Morena in power, the rich may not see economic prosperity, but they are not personally suffering, so it does not matter to the rich in the end game if Morena wins or loses. The best example of the authenticity of his Good Neighbor policy was his respect for our nation's sovereignty," Lpez Obrador said of Roosevelt. If you find an error, please let us know. The most recent was while on an international trade mission in Japan this week. Turkeys leader for the last two decades, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, could be defeated in the countrys next presidential election, scheduled for May 14. The synthetic opioid fentanyl, which kills about 70,000 Americans per year, is mainly manufactured in Mexico with precursor chemicals smuggled in from China. Some of these polls asked if the respondents approved of the president, not necessarily their stance on the referendum. So while a lot of time over the next two and a half years will be spent looking at potential candidates records and characters in all of the parties, it may not really matter. Ricardo Monreal, the highest-ranking senator from MORENA also has ambitions to be the partys presidential candidatebut he wasnt invited. But he would settle for anyone Morena choose. To be valid, the recall must be approved by an absolute majority of valid votes, and the turnout must be at least 40%. A poster supporting Mr. Lpez Obrador in Labor Vieja, a small community of farmers in Jalisco State. And other countries are operating, at present, without notable interruptions, including Argentina, which will hold federal elections later this year, as well as Uruguay, which has elections in 2024. One of Lpez Obrador's main policy initiatives has been to save the state-owned oil company that Crdenas founded from crushing debt and low oil production. The Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), which held power in Mexico under single-party rule until 2000, is expected to win between 63 and 75 seats - up from 48. National Institute for Statistics and Geography. the governments unpopular economic policies and its slow response to the Feb. 6 earthquake, which claimed more than 50,000 lives. A launch in mid-May would help alleviate growing frustrations among potential supporters who are concerned that DeSantis risks squandering the momentum that had made him so attractive as a Trump alternative in the first place. In an event at his Mar-A-Lago beach club on Nov. 15, the former president announced his plans to run. Presidential elections are held in the United States every four years. For most of the past decade, Crdova has served as . The governing Morena party was expected to hold between 190 and 203 seats in Mexico's lower house of Congress, a decline of up to 60 lawmakers, according to preliminary results released late on. On the other side, the opposition viewed the exercise as an attempt to shore up the presidents hold on power. Mexicans will vote to fill more than 20,000 posts. But with President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradors popularity still high and the opposition largely boycotting the event, the results of the referendum were almost assured. The last one was in 2020, so the next contest for the highest office in the nation will be in 2024. AMLOs other potential choice is Adn Augusto Lpez. Which begs the question: Who will succeed him in that office? Among the worst-performing countries in the region are Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and most recently, Haiti. On June 5, 2022, Mexico held gubernatorial elections in six states: Durango, Tamaulipas, Aguascalientes, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, and Quintana Roo. Lorenzo Crdova is a lawyer and a scholar, a man with an office full of books. Washington Post, which admittedly is not a great fan of AMLO, titled Who Will Be Mexicos Next President? So whoever . [5] Adn Augusto Lpez, secretary of the interior and former governor of Tabasco has also expressed his intent to run for the highest office, yet he has maintained a lower profile and enjoys less name recognition. The default username below has been generated using the first name and last initial on your FP subscriber account. They are also a signal to the Supreme Court that there is strong public opposition against the reforms. There are some real concerns about whether Mexicans will continue to believe in their democratic system and their democratic institutions if the reforms play out the way President Lpez Obrador seems to want, in the sense that he wants the legislation to be upheld, said Andrew Rudman, director of the Mexico Institute at the Wilson Center. We, as Mexicans, were worried about what was happening in Brazilthe largest democracy in Latin Americabecause we are aware of a domino effect. Perhaps conscious of recent tensions with the United States over U.S. overdose deaths from fentanyl smuggled in from Mexico, Lpez Obrador spent part of his speech praising former U.S. Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who didn't actively oppose the 1938 oil expropriation despite the fact many of the firms were American. Which perspective has more value? What a New York court case revealed about the war on drugs. This page was last edited on 25 November 2022, at 15:39. iStockphoto.com/Vepar5 Observe General Election Day Millions of Mexicans vote for their next president, as well as deputies and senators, on general election day. They are also a signal to the Supreme Court that there is strong public opposition against the reforms. Explore the benefits of your FP subscription. Ron DeSantis is poised to jump into the presidential fray as soon as mid-May, four GOP operatives familiar with the conversations told NBC News. MEXICO CITY (AP) Four candidates are in the race to become Mexico's next president in Sunday's election. Is it too early to predict next Mexican president? It may be one of the last rallies that will be headed by Lpez Obrador, who is known for his folksy style and charisma. There have been many presidentswho served more than one four-yearterm. Mexicos Senate approveda legislative overhaul of Mexicos National Electoral Institute (INE) in late February. Elected Mexico City mayor in 2000 After losing the presidential elections in 2006 and 2012, he ran again this time under a three-party coalition led by the leftist National Regeneration Movement . Were going to end up making it pretty much around the world by the time were done. Most notably, Trump has racked up endorsements from more than 50 members of Congress, including 11 from Floridas delegation, to DeSantis three. And I think what is happening right now in Mexico, which is not an isolated case, there are a lot of links with what is happening in American democracy, or Brazilian democracy, or even in other parts of the world., The latest reforms were plan B, following a failed attempt at a sweeping, last December that sought even more extreme measures to restrict electoral agencies and remove their independence. FP contributors top titles to make sense of the country ahead of its most important election, Report: 2022 Mexican presidential recall referendum, LXIII Legislature of the Mexican Congress, "Mxico: Autoridad electoral aprueba convocatoria para revocacin de mandato", "Mexican presidential recall referendum wins enough support: poll body", "El pueblo pone, el pueblo quita: AMLO propone revocacin de mandato", "Revocacin de mandato no es reeleccin: presidente AMLO", "AMLO rechaza buscar reeleccin en Mxico y se compromete a referendo revocatorio", "Senado aprueba Revocacin de Mandato; "huele a reeleccin", acusan panistas", "Publican en el DOF disposiciones sobre consulta popular y revocacin de mandato", "AMLO plantea adelantar revocacin de su mandato para 2021", "Lpez Obrador anuncia referendo revocatorio de su mandato", "Revocacin de mandato: Monreal empuja extraordinario para modificar la pregunta", "Impide oposicin nuevo periodo extra para ley de revocacin", "Lpez Obrador resiste el desgaste y mantiene una aprobacin del 59% a las puertas de la revocacin de mandato", "Si hoy fuera la consulta de revocacin de mandato, AMLO sigue o se va? DeSantis political team did not reply to a request seeking comment, but at a news conference in Israel on Thursday morning, he responded to NBC News' reporting. Nikki Haley 2024? It does not matter too terribly much, either, who the opposition candidate will be. Monday, March 6, 2023 Approval Tracker: Mexico's President AMLO By Carin Zissis Check support levels for Andrs Manuel Lpez Obradorand polling for potential successorsas he enters the last two years of his presidency. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. What will it look like? But hes starting to look like a Scott Walker in 2015, Newt Gingrich in 2012 and Fred Thompson in 2008 maybe even a Chris Christie, who ended up not getting into the race.. Those attending the rally in the Zocalo wholeheartedly approved of Lpez Obrador, who has struck a nationalist stance, drastically reducing the ability of U.S. anti-drug agents to operate in Mexico. Ebrard has his own political profile that, contrary to Sheinbaum or Augusto Lpez, wasnt built around AMLO. This tracker was initially published March 19, 2019 and has since been updated. But far from the seismic shift that a recall referendum of a president might have brought, this vote appears to have merely underscored the acrimony of Mexican politics. The president has struggled to follow through on key campaign promises, with his approval rating slipping to 59 percent last month from 66 percent in December, according to a poll from El Economista newspaper. MEXICO CITY After a successful showing in gubernatorial elections in June, Mexicos ruling MORENA party is turning its attention to the 2024 presidential elections. ', Stay up to date on political news: Sign up for our OnPolitics newsletter. The I.N.E. Mexican general election is not a public holiday in 2023. [5], Enrique Alfaro, governor of Jalisco, has expressed his desire to be the candidate of his party, the Movimiento Ciudadano. In the months leading up to the vote, Mr. Lpez Obrador and his supporters lobbied a barrage of criticism at the agency for not doing enough to promote the referendum and for not setting up enough ballot boxes. If, on the other hand, the middle class stays home on election day, Morena will remain in power, at least at the executive branch, for another six years. But the changes signal Lpez Obradors nostalgia for his own days in the PRI and a yearning for one-party rule, said Juan Cruz, former senior director for Western Hemisphere affairs at the National Security Council in the Trump administration. () Explore the benefits included in your subscription. Even if his party. Voters will elect a new president to serve a six-year term, 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies and 128 members of the Senate. Another contender facing pressure from AMLOs allies is the president of the Partido Revolucionario Institucional (PRI), Alejandro Moreno. e General elections are scheduled to be held in Mexico in July 2024. Blas Ramos, 69, an electrical engineer, held up a sign reading Get out of Mexico, FBI, CIA, Gringos!. It has been a total failure, said Juan Romero Hicks, a congressman with the opposition National Action Party in a video message posted shortly after polls closed. Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum, left, and Secretary of the Interior Adn Augusto Lpez, pictured in September 2021. This is a movement that began a long time ago, he said. These elections were characterised by its normalcy when it comes to electoral and democracy standards. Polling booths and nearby areas are very busy with people on this day. The length of a full four-year presidential term of office usually amounts to 1,461 days (three common years of 365 days plus one leap year of 366 days). (AMLO maintained in a press conference that the visit was part of Augusto Lpezs official duties.). But fortunately, as the protests about the electoral authority showed, Mexico is a very pluralist society with a lot of people who believe in democracy and stand up to protect institutions, Carothers said. A monthly digest of the top articles read by FP subscribers. Ordorica is a journalist and analyst based in Mexico City. Mexicos general election is a day off for workers in Mexico. Even though the gap between the countries that improved and the countries that declined in our report this year has declined for the first time in 17 years, the larger trend of backsliding continues, said Gerardo Berthin, vice president of international programs at Freedom House. [5] Marcelo Ebrard, current Secretary of Foreign Affairs, former presidential candidate and longtime ally of Lpez Obrador has publicly expressed his interest in being MORENA's candidate in the upcoming election. The Constitution spells outjust three requirements to hold the presidency. She also lacks AMLOs charisma, which may limit her broader appeal. As long as institutions are being undermined by personalistic or caudillo-like figures, I think the vulnerability of democratic gains will continue to be the trend, Berthin said. Thats a reversal of fortune for DeSantis, who over the past year has generally been competitive with Trump in one-on-one Republican primary polls. elections. [8], Despite being planned for 2021, the constitutional changes stipulated its realization one year later, in 2022. Turnout in the vote was . And here is why: If the middle classes come out in mass to vote, AMLOs party will lose, especially since the president has repeatedly taken aim at the countrys middle class, accusing them of being ambitious, selfish and determined to succeed at any cost.. Monreal has been the presidents ally for the past two decades. Celia Talbot Tobin for The New York Times. Keri Russell gets Drexel furniture, but no Senate confirmation hearing. While we diligently research and update our holiday dates, some of the information in the table above may be preliminary. Join in-depth conversations and interact with foreign-policy experts with. While predictions abound, it is not yet clear who the othercontenders will be in the 2024 presidential contest. The INE reforms are the latest, and perhaps highest-profile, of the Mexican presidents moves. [5] A candidacy by Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, son of former presidential candidate Luis Donaldo Colosio Murrieta, has been floated around by the media.[5]. And I think what is happening right now in Mexico, which is not an isolated case, there are a lot of links with what is happening in American democracy, or Brazilian democracy, or even in other parts of the world.. Mr. Lpez Obrador is limited to one six-year term by the Constitution, but as his partys key power broker, he is expected to play a vital role in picking a successor to carry on his legacy. It seems that only an act of God could dislodge President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. There has been a long trend of really significant anti-democratic instincts in Lpez Obrador, said Thomas Carothers, co-director of the Democracy, Conflict, and Governance Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. MEXICO CITY Pitched by the president as a landmark exercise for Mexicos democracy, Sundays recall referendum gave voters the chance to remove their head of state from office for the first time. Among the worst-performing countries in the region are Venezuela, Nicaragua, Cuba, and most recently, Haiti. A second operative said the meetings signal a likely presidential launch sooner than some expect, even as DeSantis has increasingly faced headwinds and fledgling poll numbers in recent months. [5] Other potential candidates proposed by Lpez Obrador himself include Rosa Icela Rodrguez, Tatiana Clouthier, Juan Ramn de la Fuente, Roco Nahle, and Esteban Moctezuma. But last year, the party lost several critical seats in the capitals legislature while Ms. Sheinbaum was running the city, which was seen as a potential blow to her political future. So, with a budget that was about half as much as what it said it needed, the watchdog set up far fewer ballot boxes than it would have in a presidential election. Hosted by Sabrina Tavernise. Voters will elect a new president to serve a six-year term, 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies and 128 members of the Senate. Anything?. Which perspective has more value? There is a particular focus on Mexico City, long considered the presidents stronghold. I agree to abide by FPs comment guidelines. But more than 90 percent of those who did turn out voted in favor of the president completing his six-year term, according to preliminary results from Mexicos electoral watchdog. According to Freedom Houses latest Freedom in the World report, nine of the 35 countries in the Americas saw a decline in their scores since last year. The next Mexican presidential elections are barely on the horizon. Stay updated on the topics you care about with email alerts. By gutting the INE, one of the countrys most revered and respected agencies, Lpez Obrador threatens to end the longest period of political stability and democratic governance in Mexicos modern historymuch of which has been owed to the watchdog role played by the INE. On June 6, Mexicans elect all 500 members of the Chamber of Deputies, 15 governors, and local officials in 30 of 32 states in the single-round vote. At Long Last, the Foreign Service Gets the Netflix Treatment, A BRICS Currency Could Shake the Dollars Dominance, Biden Is Rewriting the Rules on Tradeand Americans Should Be Worried, In Sudan, U.S. Policies Paved the Way for War, Adam Tooze: When National Security Trumps All, John Kerry: The IRA Is Working on Overdrive. Policymakers in Washington dont agree about much, but theres a striking bipartisan consensus on one issue: China. PUERTO VALLARTA, Jalisco Leftist Mexican President Andrs Manuel Lpez Obrador (AMLO) is now halfway through his six-year term, and has promised to not try to stay in office when that term expires on Nov. 30, 2024.
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