Throw in the occasional direct snap to Henry, and defenses all-but surrender to the Titans near the goal-line: The Titans have the NFLs best goal-to-go offense, per Football Outsiders DVOA. In his first campaign under then-offensive coordinator Liam Coen, with a solid cast around him, Levis shined, showing off his big arm while leading the Wildcats to 10 wins and 31.8 points per game. Even when eliminating two-minute situations and conversion downs, the EPA per play number improves only slightly to -0.165 on 78 attempts. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Panthers' Young all 'business now'. His best attribute is arguably his balance, which is remarkable when viewed live. This offense will have to find a brand new identity via Ryan Tannehill's arm because the unit weve known cant exist without an actual 6-foot-3, 240-pound titan to shoulder the load. I think you give credit to our offensive line and tight ends and receivers, the quarterback, all the people that are involved, running backs coach Tony Dews said. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. Levis boasts ideal size, with a big arm, sturdy frame and plus-athleticism that translates well to the NFL. This contextualizes the 50-50 usage split between early downs and conversion downs for Lewis and McNichols, who pretty clearly have seen the field only late in the series or the half. Derrick Henrys box splits are even more remarkable when you consider that he has rushed 17 times inside the 10-yard line. His pass was intercepted in the back of the end zone. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Broken tackles are an unofficial statistic, and its important to note that different sources have different tallies. Again, Henry -- the NFLs reigning Offensive Player of the Year and one of only eight backs to top 2,000 yards in a single season was the lead back for the first eight games of the season. We lost our running back, lost some wide receivers, people are down left and right, and were still able to win games. Before we get to the interplay of Tannehill and Derrick Henrys strengths, lets talk about Henrys most recognizable, electrifying, That PFR total looks a little light, and its hard to fathom that Davis has broken more tackles than Henry. . Did Pats make Mac Jones happy? Titans GM: Excited to go forward with Tannehill, Titans sit $23M over the cap and face tough offseason decisions, Titans' Vrabel highlights what Tennessee needs to address as search for OC continues, New Titans GM Ran Carthon says collaboration with Mike Vrabel will be key to success, New Titans GM wants time to evaluate Tannehill. So I decided to look at some data to prove this. Life without Derrick Henry may not be as difficult for the Tennessee Titans as some envisioned. In the two eight-game comparisons of the Titans, it appears Henrys presence did make a difference in play action. Spared by a roughing-the-passer call, however, Tannehill made the most of a new opportunity, bulling in from the 1-yard line for his fifth touchdown run of the season. He just led the Titans to a 12th comeback when trailing in the fourth quarter or overtime with the overtime win in Indianapolis. Which team has the most wins as home dogs since 2016? Ryan Tannehill is having an MVP-caliber season: first in the NFL in Football Outsiders DVOA, and third in the league with a 113.1 passer rating. After 1st-round free fall, Levis to Titans at No. Henry went on a tear the rest of the season, and ended up . If all your quarterback is is about his stats, then of course hes going to let the team down. You would expect Henry to face lots of stacked boxes. If so, you are in for a surprise. inLubbock,TX, College: Hopefully you and I already knew this, but unfortunately a lot of people, particularly casual NFL fans, don't. And his first shot without Henry comes Sunday night in Los Angeles against the Rams (7-1) and three-time AP NFL Defensive Player of the year Aaron Donald. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. All rights reserved. Red-zone performance It would seem, based on Henrys touchdown production, that the Titans would be much better in the red zone with him than without him. If that is throwing the ball more, then it is throwing the ball more. But well-executed blocks, along with Henry's ability to get yards after contact and accelerate from the defense, lead to long touchdown runs. Ryan Tannehill had a passer rating of 89.0 with 1,732 yards, 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions in 9 games for the Titans without Derrick Henry in 2021. The answers to those questions, at least to some degree, lie in the hurdles Tannehill has had to overcome this season. The Titans went through a walk-through, but Tannehill thinks Peterson's run style fits their offense as a physical, downhill runner. It is not just based on numbers.. The quarterback consistently has done what is needed to deliver victories as his team deals with myriad issues during the 2021 NFL season. Javascript is required for the selection of a player. Our exclusive database, featuring the most in-depth collection of NFL player performance data. The last and most important piece is the way that play calling and play results are affected by Henrys presence, or lack thereof, which has a direct influence on Tannehill, the rest of his teammates and the ways teams may defend this offense. Find out more. Tannehill is 26-12 since becoming Tennessee's starting quarterback. pic.twitter.com/bAqbngKVtw. That comes from great leadership, players as well as coach. In 2020, Tannehill had a .33 EPA/play, 60% success rate (% of plays with positive EPA), and 41% first down rate in 81 early down dropbacks with Henry off the field, as opposed to a .32 EPA/play, 56% success rate, and 40% first down rate in 242 such plays with Henry on the field. That leaves the defense in a bind that often leads to a short touchdown catch by Jonnu Smith or Anthony Firkser. What the Tennessee Titans have had in Derrick Henry is a running back prototypically built to carry the physical load to drive the Titans' offense to greatness, especially since quarterback Ryan Tannehill entered the fold as his running mate. For the first time since becoming Tennessees starting quarterback in mid-October 2019, the pressure will be on Tannehill to deliver in the Titans passing game. Spears arrives as an ideal complement to Derrick Henry, displaying effortless change of direction and elusiveness that becomes even more dangerous at the second level. Titans odds Who is the all-time passing leader for the Titans? Tannehill is a drastic step up from both of those guys. Ryan Tannehill Stats Without Derrick Henry With Titans | StatMuse Ryan Tannehill has a passer rating of 93.1 with 2,004 yards, 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions in 10 games for the Titans without Derrick Henry in his career. For the backups, the Titans have sent them in as part of their spread offense, with 77% of the offenses snaps happening with three wide receivers (11 personnel) on the field. What we can do, with certainty, is look at the Tannehill/Henry era of the Titans' offense to see what kind of tendencies exist when anybody else is the running back for Tennessee. Theres also the ability to excel under pressure, evidenced by the three game-winning drives hes led this season 12 in his 38 games as a Titan. And keep in mind that most of the league leaders have played six games, while Henry has only played five. But the running backs who have stepped up in Henrys absence especially Foreman have probably earned themselves some postseason work, even with a healthy Henry back in the lineup. "Derrick is a heck of a player," quarterback Ryan Tannehill said. No one seems to agree. 16 NFL VETERANS ON THIN ICE AFTER 2023 DRAFT: Titans' Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry on way out? Latest on Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill including complete game-by-game stats on ESPN However, considering last season was a bitter ending -- when the Baltimore Ravens held Henry to 40 yards on 18 carries and beat the Titans 20-13 win in the wild-card round of the playoffs -- the Titans' star could have an extra bit of motivation. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. Tannehill has 13 interceptions in 12 games. The Titans selected Kentucky quarterback Will Levis with the 33rd overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft on Friday. Tennessee had a 6-2 record before Henry was injured. We always talk as an offense that it takes all 11 guys, and so even though the back is the one with the ball in his hand, theres 10 other guys doing their jobs to help him to be successful in the run.. Pro Bowl wide receiver A.J. NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. If you look at all these stats on a per game basis, it comes out to: Vs his overall per game stats as the Titans starter: From this we see that Tannehill's play is barely affected by how Henry plays, and while Henry is one of the best RBs in the league, and certainly is a great addition to this offense, Tannehill is clearly the team's MVP and one of the 5 most valuable players in the league. Ryan is obviously our leader, coach Mike Vrabel said. 259 overall pick to select Toledo defensive lineman Desjuan Johnson, otherwise known as the new Mr. Thats Henrys lowest yards-per-carry figure since 2017. And what I've told them is whatever happens after that will be up to the players. Here's the "Nifty 50s" takeaway after the Titans 28-25 win over the Texans clinched the top seed in the AFC at NRG Park. Only Ezekiel Elliott has more carries (18) in such situations. It didn't take long for Levis to hear it on Day 2. He's averaging 11.2 yards per completion this season, more than a 20 percent drop. The Titans have dropped 18 passes this season, tied for sixth-most in the NFL, per PFF. Henry also keeps the Titans offense out of 3rd-and-long. However, the organization's priorities could shift dramatically if it trades Tannehill or Henry this offseason. Why? Pro Football Reference lists Henry with just 12 broken tackles, which is still good enough to tie him for second in the NFL behind Mike Davis of the Carolina Panthers, with a league-high 365 rushing yards. He threw for 773 yards on play-action passes, the fourth-highest total in the NFL, and averaged 16.1 yards on his completions. His toughness, his understanding of our offense and what we are trying to do each and every week has been good, coach Mike Vrabel said of Tannehill. "Any time we can get him back out here working, and working his way to going out and competing with us, is going to be huge for us. Just Askin': What are the Seven Hills of Cincinnati, exactly? So, it doesnt sound like Tannehills teammates are too worried that some of his numbers arent as gaudy as his first two years. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. There's also the question of whether Tannehill will remain as successful in play-action without the threat of Henry drawing linebackers and safeties closer to the line. The 23-year-old enters the NFL with starter-level skills, a cannon for an arm, experience running a pro-style system and competitive fire. I want to do whatever it takes to win, Tannehill said. The Titans also nearly double their dropback passing EPA per play mark when Henry is on the field, but situational context may be more important here than in the run game. Derrick Henry, the NFLs reigning offensive player of the year, has missed the past two games. Ryan Tannehill has a passer rating of 93.1 with 2,004 yards, 14 touchdowns and 7 interceptions in 10 games for the Titans without Derrick Henry in his career. RG Nate Davis (concussion), DT Jeffery Simmons (ankle), LB Rashaan Evans (ankle), CBs Greg Mabin (ankle) and Chris Jackson (foot) did not practice. But there are plenty of other facts and figures to suggest that -- if not for Tannehill -- the Titans would hardly be in prime contention for the AFCs No. Because Ryan Tannehill will light them up, of course. Making the offense go means just playing for the quarterback. After nabbing both QB C.J. Philadelphia Eagles. If Henry gets into a groove, they will likely keep feeding him. Given the current state of the AFC South, Tennessee could make an improbable playoff push behind Tannehill and star running back Derrick Henry. Heres a comparison of some key Titans offensive categories -- a look at the numbers with and without Henry: (Its worth noting, of course, that other factors have to be included as well in the comparison. No other rusher in the league has more than 12 broken tackles, according to that source. It's expected he'll receive ample time to work on those weaknesses in Nashville, where he arrives as a backup to the veteran Tannehill, who is entering the final year of his existing contract in 2023. Continuing to tug on this thread predictably reveals changes in the kind of personnel packages used around these backs. Tannehill has thrown 12 touchdown passes versus eight interceptions this season, a 1.5 touchdown-to-interception ratio that is well below what it was for the Titans in 2019 (3.7 touchdown-to-interception ratio) and in 2020 (4.7). QB Power Rankings 2023: Where Do Rookies Bryce Young, C.J. Tannehill is 26-12 since becoming Tennessee's starting quarterback. Keep up with the undrafted rookie free-agent signings with a team-by-team list of player acquisitions following the 2023 NFL Draft. More AP NFL coverage: https://apnews.com/hub/NFL and https://twitter.com/AP_NFL, A Towering, Terrifying Demon Horse Isnt Even the Weirdest Part, Man who lost wife, son in Texas mass shooting tells story, Gwyneth Paltrow won't recoup attorney fees in ski crash suit, 'Zombie' misinformation: 'Rape Day' hoax resurfaces on TikTok, 'Very homophobic': Teachers' union leader Randi Weingarten says House hearing crossed the line, US readies second attempt at speedy border asylum screenings, Pour Salt Down Your Drain At Night, Here's Why, Justin Pearson joins White House Correspondents' Dinner protesters, calls climate 'fight for justice', Official: 148 Somalis evacuated from Sudan via Ethiopia. Unlike the Carolina Panthers, Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts, all of whom selected quarterbacks in the first round of the 2023 NFL draft, the Titans aren't in an outright rebuild just yet. But Ryan wants to see the team win. Now picture the opposing defense. Over the last eight games, (keeping in mind Brown has missed three contests), Tannehills PFF play-action grade dropped to 73.3. Theres nothing the film tells me that the data hasnt the portrait is pretty clear. We present them here for purely educational purposes. Over the last eight games, however, Tennessee has averaged only 20.5 points per game. In the first eight games, the Titans scored touchdowns on 20-of-32 trips inside the red zone, a 62.5 percent success rate. He just led the Titans to a 12th comeback when trailing in the fourth quarter or overtime with the overtime win in Indianapolis. Ryan Tannehill is on Instagram at rtannehill17. Here are Derrick Henrys rushing stats broken down by the number of defenders in the box, per Sports Info Solutions: The Titans offense likes to line up in the shotgun near the goal line with two tight ends and two receivers spread across the field. If D'Andre Swift and . Since 2019, the opposition has played zone on 57% of the passing snaps with Henry and Tannehill on the field. So Derrick Henry helps keep Ryan Tannehill out of 2nd-and-long and 3rd-and-long situations. Checkout the latest stats for Ryan Tannehill. But consider PFFs pass-protection grade for the Titans is just 51.3, the fourth worst in the league. Tennessee sent the 41st and 72nd picks, plus a 2024 third-round selection, to Arizona to move up to No. Compare that to 2019, when the teams pass-blocking earned a 74.9 grade 12th-best in the NFL. Related | NFL Power Rankings, Week 7: Teams moving up and down the board. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. Part of it is that Derrick Henry is a beast who opens up all sorts of other opportunities, and defenses focus on trying to limit his rushing prowess. That's what we always want it to be.". Copyright 2019-2023. He wants to make sure that everybody gets their shine, and thats why its so great to have him on the team.. I think this narrative developed because of Henry's historic playoff run during our AFC championship run and the fact that Tannehill didn't have to do much but he basically killed the Ravens in the first half of that game. Official Subreddit of the Tennessee Titans. Even without star running back Derrick Henry for the latter half of the 2021 regular season, the Tennessee Titans somehow wound up with the No. But someone has to be the guy who fixes. Derrick Henry leads the NFL in first down carries (80) and yards (426). ESPN Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved. Tannehill hasn't been as successful pushing the ball downfield this season as he had in the past two years. The passing game isn't what was expected after the Titans traded for seven-time Pro Bowl wide receiver Julio Jones in June, pairing him with 2020 Pro Bowl receiver A.J. Without Henry, they'd have just 166 yards over two offseason games. Irrelevant. Adam Schein spotlights nine teams with exquisite prospect hauls. 22 as a backbone. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Early look at 2024 NFL free agents: Which players could be available next March? The basics Here are the meat and potatoes numbers: In the eight games Henry has played this season, hes run 219 times for 937 yards, an average of 4.3 yards per carry. Who is the all-time NFL passing leader? Ryan Tannehill had 2,536 passing yards last season and 33,265 passing yards over his career. As you might expect, Henry faces a stacked box inside the 10-yard line often: a total of 10 times, per Sports Info Solutions. The success rate data is revealing in situational usage, as well. I just love winning football games. The Titans (6-2) signed 2012 NFL MVP Adrian Peterson for what might wind up a committee approach to replacing the two-time rushing champ. 2023 NFL Draft: Pick-by-pick analysis for Day 2, 2023 NFL Draft trade tracker: Full details on every draft-related move since start of the new league year. 1. Injuries to offensive line members at various times played a part in the numbers, too.). DOnta Foreman and Dontrell Hilliard two who didnt have contracts at the start of this season have led the charge for the past eight. Theres a wide disparity in how effective the offense is when Henry is on the field on third and fourth down when compared to current and former Titans Jeremy McNichols and Dion Lewis, but thats a matter of the distance to the line to gain. What we can do, with certainty, is look at the Tannehill/Henry era of the Titans' offense to see what kind of tendencies exist when, Looking first at the usage rate based on downs, the split in snaps for Henry is proof that the running back is not just a personnel package, but an. Rankings&Projections |WR/CB Matchup Chart |NFL & NCAA Betting Dashboards |NFL Player Props tool |NFL & NCAA Power Rankings. He only. Based on on tape, comparing Levis to himself doesn't inspire supreme confidence for a franchise that ranked 30th in the NFL in passing yards and touchdowns. Even though he hasn't seen any game action since Oct. 31, Henry will have an impact as soon as he puts on a Titans jersey. Patrick Mahomes Ryan Tannehill . No offense that uses one running back exclusively on first and second down is running the same offense with anyone else in the backfield. He also has had a passer rating of 90 or better in three of four road starts this season. That leaves the defense in a bind that often leads to a, NFL Week 6 Recap and News: The biggest takeaways from Sundays action, NFL Power Rankings, Week 7: Teams moving up and down the board, QB Power Rankings 2020 Week 7: Matt Ryan, Deshaun Watson out to reclaim seasons. Nothing can replicate reps that come in games, so it remains to be seen how much Henry will be able to handle in his first game back. The bottom line, of course, is that the Titans are 8-2, atop the AFC and leading their division by three games. Pro Bowl left tackle Taylor Lewan has missed three games and was pulled early in another contest. He has 17 catches and 301 yards receiving and is still looking for his first TD this season after officials overturned a catch at the back of the end zone in Seattle. Those guys won't win you a game, but they won't lose it either. In other words, opponents know Derrick Henry is coming, but they cant really over-commit to stopping him, even though the splits above suggest they could hold him to 3.3 yards or so per rush. Both are obviously indispensable cogs in the undefeated Tennessee Titans machine. Should the Titans basically pack it in before Week 1 or see their postseason hopes fade quickly, they might as well elevate Levis and build toward the future. After the wild weekend in Kansas City, resident Power Ranker Dan Hanzus reassesses the league hierarchy, 1-32. Teams havent defended Tennessee any differently yet, but without the threat of a controlling run game, that may change. Explore Who has the most career 5+ passing TD games? Latest News: Dec. 21, 2022 7:34 AM PT 8:34 AM MT 9:34 AM CT 10:34 AM ET 15:34 GMT 23:34 8:34 AM MST 9:34 AM CST 10:34 AM EST 9:34 AM CT 19:34 UAE 10:34 ET NaN: - Tannehill will miss the remainder of the season and is unlikely to return for the playoffs after undergoing surgery to repair his injured right ankle. Khan's first Steelers draft 'aggressive' . He finished tied for sixth in the league in rushing touchdowns and ninth in rushing yards even though he missed the rest of the regular season. When loading up to stop a strong running game (or, if facing a team like the New York Jets, just scoffing at the passing game), opponents will add an eighth or even ninth defender. 1. With Coen gone, Year 2 at Kentucky under Rich Scangarello was a different story. Its more mind-blowing, however, to realize that the ground game over the past eight games has posted numbers that, in many categories, are every bit as impressive as the first eight games. Is there anyone by now who doesnt know how many injuries the Titans whove used a league-high 82 players -- have had to deal with this season? The Titans ran for 198 yards against the Dolphins, meaning three of the teams biggest five rushing days this season New England (270 rushing yards) and Pittsburgh (201 rushing yards) have come since Henry was sidelined with a broken bone in his foot. With the 2023 NFL Draft in the books, Chad Reuter ranks the best undrafted rookie free agents by position. Stroud and edge Will Anderson Jr., the Houston Texans get plenty of love but they're not No. When Tannehill was named the Titans' starter before Week Seven of last season, Henry ranked 12th in the NFL with 416 rushing yards. But there hasnt been much difference when the team gets inside the 20-yard line. According to Sports Info Solutions, Henry leads the NFL with 19 broken tackles on running plays. While Ryan Tannehill is the Tennessee Titans' starting quarterback for now, they might not have Will Levis hold a clipboard for the entirety of his rookie season in the NFL. Here are Derrick Henrys rushing stats broken down by the number of defenders in the box, per Sports Info Solutions: Lets walk through that data slowly. However, many will discredit this by saying he's only elite because if Henry or that without Henry he wouldn't be as good. George Walker IV / Tennessean.com / USA Today Network. So Henry excels at setting up 2nd-and-medium opportunities. On the other hand, the Titans faced a more rugged stretch in the first eight contests when Henry was playing. 1 postseason seed. Tennessee has two offenses, depending on the running back. The Titans offense likes to line up in the shotgun near the goal line with two tight ends and two receivers spread across the field. * Selected to Pro Bowl, + First-Team AP All-Pro, Bold indicates league leader, Transaction, fine, and suspension data since 2002. Tennessee's selection of Levis makes it two straight drafts in which the Titans spent a Day 2 pick on a quarterback. If that is running the ball more, then it is running the ball more. Last season, Tannehill completed 62% of his passes for 1,618 yards and 11 touchdowns on play-action, and he averaged 9.46 yards per attempt. Biggest post-draft questions Explore Who is the all-time receiving leader for the Titans? I've seen these or similar takes many times and they make me mad because I know they're not true. Finally, despite how different the offense plays based on who's been in the backfield, defenses have approached this offense the same. Henrys goal-line stats 41 yards, five TDs wont blow you away. Check and check for Tannehill. In the eight games featuring Foreman, Hilliard and McNichols, the Titans rushing numbers are nearly identical even a bit better. Here are Tannehill's stats on second down with six yards or less to go: 36-of-47, 441 yards, six TDs, zero interceptions. Nick Foles, Sam Darnold, and Dwayne Haskins are among the quarterbacks who have faced more 3rd-and-long situations than Tannehill, even though they havent been full-time starters for all of this season. Without Henry, they'd have just . Hen-ry!". What the Tennessee Titans have had in Derrick Henry is a running back prototypically built to carry the physical load to drive the Titans' offense to greatness, especially since quarterback Ryan Tannehill entered the fold as his running mate. All those types of things go into it. The play-action passes are where I expect most of the eyeballs in analytics to go, and rightfully so with how the Titans like to play. Getting Derrick Henry the ball gives us a better chance to win.".
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